Tesla Q1 deliveries expectation vs year over year increase

While Tesla may not always beat analyst expectations, the company has consistently delivered growth in Q1 deliveries year after year since 2013. This is a testament to the company’s long-term success and the increasing demand for electric vehicles. Despite any short-term fluctuations, Tesla’s growth trajectory remains positive and indicates a strong future for the company in the electric vehicle market.

“On April 2nd, Tesla revealed they delivered a total of 422,878 vehicles in Q1 of 2023. This number means they delivered 3.26 vehicles per minute during the quarter. These numbers are a 36.4% increase vs Q1 2022.” – | Sawyer Merritt |

Tesla historical Q1 deliveries:

2023: 422,875
2022: 310,048
2021: 184,877
2020: 88,296
2019: 63,019
2018: 29,980
2017: 25,051
2016: 14,820
2015: 10,045
2014: 6,457
2013: 4,900

In this article, we will take a closer look at Tesla’s Q1 delivery numbers from historical data to compare delivery expectations with year-over-year increases.

Historical Data for Q1 Deliveries:

Expectations for Q1 2024:

Based on the impressive year-over-year growth rate, analysts expect Tesla to deliver around 550,000 vehicles in Q1 2024. However, the chip shortage that has been affecting the auto industry could play a role in the company’s Q1 2024 delivery numbers.

Year-over-Year Increase:

Tesla has been demonstrating impressive year-over-year growth in Q1 deliveries. From Q1 2013 to Q1 2014, the company saw an increase of 32%. From Q1 2014 to Q1 2015, the company saw a significant increase of 55%. In Q1 2016, Tesla’s deliveries increased by 47% compared to the previous year. And in Q1 2017, the company’s deliveries grew by an impressive 66%. The year-over-year growth continued with Q1 2018, which saw a 20% increase in deliveries, and in Q1 2019, which saw a 110% increase.

However, the growth rate slowed down in Q1 2020, which saw a 39% increase in deliveries compared to the previous year. Despite the pandemic’s effect on the global economy, Tesla’s Q1 2021 deliveries grew by an impressive 104%. Q1 2022 deliveries saw a 67% increase compared to the previous year, while Q1 2023 saw a growth of 36%.

What’s driving Tesla’s growth?

Several factors have contributed to Tesla’s continued growth, including the increasing demand for electric vehicles, Tesla’s expanding product lineup, and the company’s investment in its production and delivery infrastructure. Additionally, Tesla’s leadership in battery technology and software development has helped the company maintain a competitive edge in the market.


Tesla has been delivering impressive growth in its Q1 deliveries year after year, reflecting the increasing demand for electric vehicles and the company’s continued investment in its production and delivery infrastructure. The company’s expected Q1 2024 deliveries are a testament to the fact that Tesla’s growth is showing no signs of slowing down, despite the challenges posed by the global chip shortage. With its leadership in battery technology and software development, Tesla is well-positioned to maintain its dominance in the electric vehicle market for years to come.

EV Evangelist, Passionate About Electric Vehicles/Mobility. Tune in on X : @HDEONEV